The record

v3's record, archived

Before the restart, our picks came from an earlier model. Its record is kept here exactly as it was graded, in two parts: from the Oct 7, 2026 restart on, and before it. Nothing in it was deleted.

Oct 7 – Nov 2

Since the restart

10,027 priced picks graded · −456.2u at the posted price

Until Oct 6, 2026

Before the restart

14,829 priced picks graded · −965.4u at the posted price

v3's record before Oct 7, 2026, kept as it was graded. The record restarted on Oct 7 while the models were rebuilt.

Matches v3's record exactly: 60,970 picks, 1,269 numbers compared, checked Nov 3 at 6:19 PM ET.

Known error in this period. Until Sept 2, some MLB props were settled against the player's previous game when a late game the night before shared the date. About 1 in 100 priced MLB props is affected; corrected, the props total is roughly 24 units worse than shown. These picks run from Jul 27 to Oct 6.

At 1 unit a pick, at the price we posted: game lines +42.5u on 4,003 picks; player props −1007.9u on 10,826. Losses count; voided and unpriced picks don't.

Game lines

+42.5u

4,003 picks · 2,193–1,791–19

+1.1% a pick, 95% range −2.3 to +4.4

Player props

−1007.9u

10,826 picks · 6,199–4,627

−9.3% a pick, 95% range −10.8 to −7.8

60,970 picks logged · 0 waiting on a result · 9,590 voided · 36,551 graded without a book price (not counted in money)

Last 30 days

Games after Sep 6

Game lines

+10.2u

1,314 picks · 685–623–6

+0.8% a pick, 95% range −4.7 to +6.3

Player props

−565.8u

4,906 picks · 2,727–2,179

−11.5% a pick, 95% range −13.8 to −9.3

By sport and market

The bar is the 95% range; the tick is break-even

MLB Moneyline

Picks 837

Won–lost 414–423

+49.3u

+5.9% (−4.1 to +15.9)

MLB Total

Picks 837

Won–lost 439–381–17

+34.7u

+4.1% (−2.5 to +10.8)

MLB Spread

Picks 834

Won–lost 464–370

+28.0u

+3.4% (−3.5 to +10.2)

CS2 Moneyline

Picks 221

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