Dylan Cozens

Ottawa Senators · C · #24

OTT @ BUF · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 12; with him: 0 of 4 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 9 of 38 (41 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 3.21 goals a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.00, 8th most

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs STL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 17.4 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 17.9 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 14.9 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 18.4 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 17.3 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 17.3 min
at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 17.5 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 17.5 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 17.3 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 17 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Goals: 1 in 16.2 min, Apr 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 31%; at +225
Books’ fair: 28%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17.3; 10 games · 17.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 28%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2256 books	−3201 book	3/10
+14756 books	—	1/10
+100005 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings13 min ago	+235Best	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+230	−320Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	+225	—
betPARX2 min ago	+225	—
BetRivers3 min ago	+225	—
Bovada3 min ago	+220	—

Prices as of 10:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

+210 → +225 since first seen

Dylan Cozens's full game log and splits