Dylan Cozens
OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 12; with him: 0 of 4 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 9 of 38 (41 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 3.21 goals a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.00, 8th most
Game log against Over 0.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BUF
Goals: 1 in 16.2 min, Apr 2 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against BUF on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 31%
- at +225
- Books’ fair
- 28%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 17.3
- 10 games · 17.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 28%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2256 books | −3201 book | 3/10 | |
| +13006 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +100005 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings6 min ago | +235Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +230 | −320Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +225 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | +225 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +225 | — |
| Bovada9 min ago | +220 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:02 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No move since first seen


