Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning · LW · #38

DET @ TB · Tue, Nov 3 7:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1113 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different yesterday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 3.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 29 of 78 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 32 of 81 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.4 shots on goal a game to forwards: 27th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 17.5, 27th most

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 3, missed, 22.9 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 6, cleared, 21.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 21 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 6, cleared, 23.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 20.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 18.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 20.6 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 7, cleared, 22.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 5, cleared, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Hagel didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; shots on goal the last time Hagel faced them: 1 (Mar 12)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 47%; at +111
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.3; 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	10/10
−6001 book	—	9/10
−2101 book	—	8/10
+1113 books	−1553 books	5/10
+2401 book	—	5/10
+4751 book	—	3/10
+10001 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings9 hr ago	+115Best	−155
Pinnacle9 hr ago	+111	−147Best
Bally Bet9 hr ago	+110	−155
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +104 → +111 since first seen

Brandon Hagel's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.