Brandon Hagel
DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 31 of 78 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 35 of 81 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 4.13 assists a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 4.20, 6th most
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DET
Hagel didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; assists the last time Hagel faced them: 0 (Mar 12)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against DET on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 45%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 21.3
- 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 45%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1036 books | −1442 books | 5/10 | |
| +5792 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +17001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | +110Best | −150 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +104 | −138Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +102 | — |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −109 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −109 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −109 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over −102 → −103 since first seen


