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Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning · LW · #38

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Assists, typical price −1036 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Teammate out

    Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)

    Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 13; with him: 31 of 78 (91 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)

    Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 35 of 81 (84 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    John Gibson (Expected)

    Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    DET allow 4.13 assists a game to forwards: 7th most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 4.20, 6th most

Game log against Over 0.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 22.9 min
  2. at NYI, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 21.5 min
  3. at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 21 min
  4. vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 23.4 min
  5. vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
  6. at VGK, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18.9 min
  7. at COL, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 20.6 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 22.9 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 21.8 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20.2 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10
  • Nikita KucherovRW

  • Jake GuentzelC

  • Brayden PointC

  • Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve

  • Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Hagel didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; assists the last time Hagel faced them: 0 (Mar 12)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
51%
at −103
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Time on ice
21.3
10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1036 books−1442 books5/10
+5792 books—1/10
+17001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings7 min ago+110Best−150
Pinnacle7 min ago+104−138Best
FanDuel2 min ago+102—
Bally Bet7 min ago−109—
betPARX2 min ago−109—
BetRivers2 min ago−109—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −102 → −103 since first seen

Brandon Hagel's full game log and splits