Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning · LW · #38

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1296 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 13; with him: 34 of 78 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 37 of 81 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
John Gibson (Expected)
Saves: 191 of 222 (.860) over his last 10 games · 6 of DET's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 2.40 goals a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.40, 22nd most

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 22.9 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 3, cleared, 21.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 21 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 23.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 20.6 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 22.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Hagel didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; goals the last time Hagel faced them: 0 (Mar 12)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +129
Books’ fair: 41%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.3; 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 41%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1296 books	−1722 books	4/10
+6505 books	—	2/10
+28005 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+140Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+130	−170Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	+130	−174
Bally Bet5 min ago	+128	—
betPARX5 min ago	+128	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+128	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +133 → +129 since first seen

Brandon Hagel's full game log and splits