Brandon Hagel

Tampa Bay Lightning · LW · #38

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 46 of 78 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Zemgus Girgensons: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 52 of 81 (84 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov started DET's last game
Saves: 216 of 237 (.911) over his last 10 games · 3 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 6 · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 6.53 points a game to forwards: 14th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.60, 15th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-10-08: 1, cleared, 22.9 min
at NYI, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 21.5 min
at NYR, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 21 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 23.4 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 20.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 18.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 20.6 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 22.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 20.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Nikita KucherovRW
Jake GuentzelC
Brayden PointC
Yanni GourdeCInjured Reserve
Zemgus GirgensonsCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Lightning count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Hagel didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; points the last time Hagel faced them: 0 (Mar 12)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −215
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Time on ice: 21.3; 10 games · 20.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 64%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2153 books	+1572 books	7/10
+1892 books	—	3/10
+6202 books	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 hr ago	−215Best	+160Best
Pinnacle4 hr ago	−215Best	+155
Bally Bet4 hr ago	−265	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

Brandon Hagel's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.