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Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta Falcons · QB · #9

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder6.5
Over 6.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 6.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 6.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

  1. at NE, 2025-11-02: 19, cleared, 2 carries
  2. at IND, 2025-11-09: -1, missed, 1 carries
  3. vs CAR, 2025-11-16: 9, cleared, 1 carries
  4. at GB, 2026-09-24: -2, missed, 2 carries
  5. at NO, 2026-10-05: -2, missed, 2 carries
  6. vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 8, cleared, 2 carries
  7. vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 1 carries
  8. vs SF, 2026-10-25: -1, missed, 5 carries
  9. at TB, 2026-11-01: 11, cleared, 5 carries
  10. vs CIN, 2026-11-08: 50, cleared, 3 carries
ClearedMissedThe 6.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunCarries

    Last 3: 4.3 carries · 2026: 2.9 (7 games) · up 48%

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    KC allow 15.4 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 16th most of 32

    8 games

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN

  • Game lines

    ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 6.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 6.5

Average
9.2
+2.7 vs line
Median
4.5
−2 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
2.4
10 games · 2.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 6.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1661 book—5/10
−1143 books−1143 books5/10
−1093 books−1212 books5/10
+1204 books—3/10
+2701 book—2/10
+3004 books—1/10
+7001 book—1/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 6.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 6.5Under 6.5
FanDuel4 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle5 min ago−114Best−114Best
Bovada4 min ago−115−115
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

7.5 → 6.5 since first seen

Michael Penix Jr.'s full game log and splits