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Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta Falcons · QB · #9

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder227.5
Over 227.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 227.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 227.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

  1. at NE, 2025-11-02: 240, cleared, 39 attempts + carries
  2. at IND, 2025-11-09: 176, missed, 29 attempts + carries
  3. vs CAR, 2025-11-16: 184, missed, 17 attempts + carries
  4. at GB, 2026-09-24: 254, cleared, 27 attempts + carries
  5. at NO, 2026-10-05: 221, missed, 22 attempts + carries
  6. vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 248, cleared, 34 attempts + carries
  7. vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 226, missed, 34 attempts + carries
  8. vs SF, 2026-10-25: 212, missed, 39 attempts + carries
  9. at TB, 2026-11-01: 136, missed, 29 attempts + carries
  10. vs CIN, 2026-11-08: 212, missed, 34 attempts + carries
ClearedMissedThe 227.5 linePass attempts + carries

What's different on Sunday

Over 227.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Pass attempts + carries

    Last 3: 34 attempts + carries · 2026: 31.3 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN

  • Game lines

    ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)

  • KC injuries

    Mansoor Delane (CB, Out, 6.8 tackles); L'Jarius Sneed (CB, Injured Reserve, 5.5 tackles); Peter Woods (DT, Questionable, 2.6 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Over 227.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 227.5

Average
210.9
−16.6 vs line
Median
216.5
−11 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Pass attempts + carries
30.4
10 games · 33 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 227.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−6253 books—8/10
−3053 books—7/10
−1433 books—4/10
−1151 book−1151 book3/10
−1153 books−1142 books3/10
+1333 books—1/10
+2453 books—0/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 227.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 227.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 227.5Under 227.5
Bovada3 min ago−115Best−115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

227.5

223.5 → 227.5 since first seen

Michael Penix Jr.'s full game log and splits