Michael Penix Jr.
KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
—No games
Game logs for Interceptions aren't in our warehouse yet.
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 interceptions.
What's different on Sunday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickRest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN
Game lines
ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)
KC injuries
Mansoor Delane (CB, Out, 6.8 tackles); L'Jarius Sneed (CB, Injured Reserve, 5.5 tackles); Peter Woods (DT, Questionable, 2.6 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
ATL injuries
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, Injured Reserve, 7.6 carries + targets)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Over 0.5
- Average
- —
- no games
- Median
- —
- no games
- Hit rate
- —
- no games
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −118
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −105
Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| −1184 books | −1123 books | |
| +4103 books | — |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada2 min ago | −115Best | −115 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −118 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −118 | −110Best |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −120 | −112 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: −120 → −118 since first seen