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Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta Falcons · QB · #9

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder224.5
Over 224.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1044 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 224.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 224.5 Passing Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

  1. at NE, 2025-11-02: 221, missed, 37 attempts
  2. at IND, 2025-11-09: 177, missed, 28 attempts
  3. vs CAR, 2025-11-16: 175, missed, 16 attempts
  4. at GB, 2026-09-24: 256, cleared, 25 attempts
  5. at NO, 2026-10-05: 223, missed, 20 attempts
  6. vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 240, cleared, 32 attempts
  7. vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 225, cleared, 33 attempts
  8. vs SF, 2026-10-25: 213, missed, 34 attempts
  9. at TB, 2026-11-01: 125, missed, 24 attempts
  10. vs CIN, 2026-11-08: 162, missed, 31 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 224.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Sunday

Over 224.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    KC allow 220.5 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 26th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 29.7 attempts · 2026: 28.4 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN

  • Game lines

    ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)

Splits

Over 224.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 224.5

Average
201.7
−22.8 vs line
Median
217
−7.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
51%
at −104
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Pass attempts
28
10 games · 30.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
−1151 book−1151 book5/10
−1153 books−1142 books5/10
−1044 books—3/10
+1804 books—1/10
+3354 books—0/10
+5801 book—0/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 224.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 224.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 224.5Under 224.5
FanDuel4 min ago+110Best—
Bally Bet4 min ago−104—
betPARX4 min ago−104—
BetRivers4 min ago−104—

Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

224.5

223.5 → 224.5 since first seen

Michael Penix Jr.'s full game log and splits