Michael Penix Jr.
KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunDefense vs quarterbacks
KC allow 0.88 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 30th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 29.7 attempts · 2026: 28.4 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN
Game lines
ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 44%
- at +125
- Books’ fair
- 41%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 28
- 10 games · 30.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 41%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4804 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +1256 books | −1655 books | 3/10 | |
| +5104 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +15001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +136Best | −182 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +126 | −168 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +125 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +125 | −165Best |
| Bovada4 min ago | +125 | −165Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +123 | −165Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over: +136 → +125 since first seen


