Michael Penix Jr.
KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 19.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Completions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
KC allow 21.3 completions a game to quarterbacks: 16th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 29.7 attempts · 2026: 28.4 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN
Game lines
ATL +3.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
ATL's games this season closed at 46.3 on average (9 games)
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 17.1
- −2.4 vs line
- Median
- 18.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 28
- 10 games · 30.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20003 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −3153 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1254 books | −1052 books | 3/10 | |
| −1051 book | −1251 book | 2/10 | |
| +1633 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +3003 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −124Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −124Best | −105 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −125 | — |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −130 | −102Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5−110 → −125 since first seen