Justice Hill

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +4105 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 0.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 8 of 38; with another BAL quarterback: 0 of 8
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Carries + targets
Last 3: 7 carries + targets · 2026: 6.1 (8 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 12% over 7 games this season
Game lines
BAL +9.5 · total 40.5 (6 sportsbooks)
BAL's games this season closed at 47 on average (8 games)

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

at MIN, 2025-11-09: 1, cleared, 3 carries + targets
vs NYJ, 2025-11-23: 0, missed
at IND, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
at DAL, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 11 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 6 carries + targets, Dec 17, 2023 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 20%; at +410
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 5.8; 9 games · 5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+4105 books	pick'em only	1/10
+45005 books	—	0/10
+180004 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada4 min ago	+500Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	+500Best	—
Bally Bet4 min ago	+410	—
betPARX6 min ago	+410	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+410	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +390 → +410 since first seen