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Justice Hill

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
OverUnder13.5
Over 13.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1205 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightQuarterback

    Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 13.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 17 of 35; with another BAL quarterback: 3 of 6

  • TonightDefense vs running backs

    JAX allow 57.7 rushing yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32

    7 games

  • TonightRest

    3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week

  • Carries

    Last 3: 3.3 carries · 2026: 3.4 (7 games)

Game log against Over 13.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 13.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

  1. vs CHI, 2025-10-26: 2, missed, 1 carries
  2. at MIA, 2025-10-30: 2, missed, 1 carries
  3. at MIN, 2025-11-09: 1, missed, 1 carries
  4. at IND, 2026-09-13: 18, cleared, 6 carries
  5. vs NO, 2026-09-20: 6, missed, 2 carries
  6. at DAL, 2026-09-27: 33, cleared, 5 carries
  7. vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 3, missed, 1 carries
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-11: 73, cleared, 4 carries
  9. vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 7, missed, 3 carries
  10. at BUF, 2026-11-01: 15, cleared, 3 carries
ClearedMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 13.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Rushing Yards: 23 in 5 carries, Dec 17, 2023 (away)

Over 13.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 13.5

Average
16
+2.5 vs line
Median
6.5
−7 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Carries
2.7
10 games · 2.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 13.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5501 book—6/10
−2154 books—4/10
−1205 books−1124 books4/10
+1001 book—4/10
+1181 book−1581 book3/10
+1634 books—2/10
+2701 book—2/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 13.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 13.5Under 13.5
FanDuel3 min ago−114Best−114
Bovada3 min ago−115−115
Bally Bet3 min ago−120—
betPARX2 min ago−120−109Best
BetRivers2 min ago−121−110
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

16.5 → 13.5 since first seen

Justice Hill's full game log and splits