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Justice HillQuestionable

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
OverUnder12.5
Over 12.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightQuarterback

    Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 12.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 18 of 35; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 7

  • TonightTargets

    Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 3.6 (7 games) · up 39%

    Target share: 17% last 3 games · 12% over 7 games this season

  • TonightRest

    3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week

  • Defense vs running backs

    JAX allow 36.3 receiving yards a game to running backs: 10th most of 32

    7 games

Game log against Over 12.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. vs LAR, 2025-10-12: 28, cleared, 6 targets
  2. at MIA, 2025-10-30: 13, cleared, 2 targets
  3. at MIN, 2025-11-09: 12, missed, 2 targets
  4. at IND, 2026-09-13: 10, missed, 1 targets
  5. vs NO, 2026-09-20: 12, missed, 2 targets
  6. vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 22, cleared, 3 targets
  7. at ATL, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 4 targets
  8. at CLE, 2026-10-18: 9, missed, 3 targets
  9. vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 26, cleared, 4 targets
  10. at BUF, 2026-11-01: 20, cleared, 8 targets
ClearedMissedThe 12.5 lineTargets

Count only

Over 12.5 · L10

Last vs JAX

Receiving Yards: 0 in 1 targets, Dec 17, 2023 (away)

Over 12.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 12.5

Average
15.7
+3.2 vs line
Median
12.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
3.5
10 games · 3.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4001 book—10/10
−1674 books—8/10
−1154 books−1143 books5/10
−1172 books−1122 books4/10
−1021 book—4/10
+1804 books—4/10
+2301 book—2/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 12.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 12.5Under 12.5
Bally Bet5 min ago−115Best—
betPARX6 min ago−115Best−113Best
Pinnacle5 min ago−115Best−115
BetRivers6 min ago−117−114
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

13.5 → 12.5 since first seen

Justice Hill's full game log and splits