Justice Hill

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

JAX @ BAL · Tomorrow 8:15 PM

Over Under4.5

—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tomorrow

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TomorrowDefense vs running backs
JAX allow 17.6 carries a game to running backs: 31st most of 32
7 games
TomorrowRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 4.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 13 of 35; with another BAL quarterback: 1 of 6
Carries
Last 3: 3.3 carries · 2026: 3.4 (7 games)

20%2 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

vs CHI, 2025-10-26: 1, missed, 1 carries
at MIA, 2025-10-30: 1, missed, 1 carries
at MIN, 2025-11-09: 1, missed, 1 carries
at IND, 2026-09-13: 6, cleared, 6 carries
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 2 carries
at DAL, 2026-09-27: 5, cleared, 5 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 1 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 4, missed, 4 carries
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 3 carries
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 3 carries

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Rushing Attempts: 5 in 5 carries, Dec 17, 2023 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 2.7; −1.8 vs line
Median: 2.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: —; 2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries: 2.7; 10 games · 2.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	pick'em only	pick'em only	2/10

Compare 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

5.5 → 4.5 since we started recording it