Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills · QB · #17

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1606 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at JAX, 2026-01-11: 1, missed, 35 attempts
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 3, cleared, 39 attempts
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 2, cleared, 29 attempts
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 3, cleared, 31 attempts
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 26 attempts
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 33 attempts
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 19 attempts
at LV, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 33 attempts
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 34 attempts
at MIN, 2026-11-09: 1, missed, 31 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
NYJ allow 1.78 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 7th most of 32
9 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 32.7 attempts · 2026: 29.5 (8 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 at MIN
Game lines
BUF −8 · total 51 (6 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Allen didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; passing tds the last time Allen faced them: 0 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Pass attempts: 31; 10 games · 29.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 56%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9104 books	—	9/10
−1606 books	+1205 books	5/10
+2904 books	—	2/10
+11004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−134Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−134Best	+104
BetRivers3 min ago	−136	+102
Bovada3 min ago	−160	+120
FanDuel3 min ago	−166	+124Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−166	+124Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −135 → −160 since first seen