Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills · QB · #17

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −1825 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at JAX, 2026-01-11: 2, cleared, 11 carries + targets
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 0, missed, 12 carries + targets
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 2, cleared, 6 carries + targets
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 2, cleared, 14 carries + targets
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 9 carries + targets
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 10 carries + targets
at LV, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 7 carries + targets
at MIN, 2026-11-09: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Carries + targets
Last 3: 6 carries + targets · 2026: 7.8 (8 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 at MIN
Game lines
BUF −8 · total 51 (6 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.3 on average (8 games)
NYJ injuries
Nahshon Wright (CB, Questionable, 4.4 tackles); Joseph Ossai (DE, Questionable, 3.9 tackles); Trevin Wallace (LB, Questionable, 3.7 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Allen didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; total touchdowns the last time Allen faced them: 0 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −182
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 8.5; 10 games · 7.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1825 books	pick'em only	7/10
+3205 books	—	4/10
+15004 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel7 min ago	−170Best	—
Bovada7 min ago	−173	—
Bally Bet7 min ago	−182	—
betPARX7 min ago	−182	—
BetRivers7 min ago	−186	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen