Jordan Love
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 275.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 275.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 158–369.8 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 275.5 · facts from past games, not a pickPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 43.7 attempts + carries · 2026: 40.4 (8 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game lines
GB +3 · total 45.5 (9 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (8 games)
NE injuries
Carlton Davis III (CB, Questionable, 5 tackles); Kevin Byard (S, Questionable, 5 tackles); Gabe Jacas (LB, Questionable, 3 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report
Splits
Over 275.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 275.5
- Average
- 267.4
- −8.1 vs line
- Median
- 288
- +12.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −104
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4803 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2253 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1173 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 6/10 | |
| +1553 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 275.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 275.5 | Under 275.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −114Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −115 | −115 |
Prices as of 2:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
275.5281.5 → 275.5 since first seen