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Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · #10

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder4.5
Over 4.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1064 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightCarries

    Last 3: 3 carries · 2026: 2.2 (5 games) · up 36%

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    NE allow 9.0 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 27th most of 32

    8 games

  • Rest

    9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR

    Love has missed the last 2 games

  • Game lines

    GB +3 · total 47 (6 sportsbooks)

    GB's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (8 games)

Game log against Over 4.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. at DET, 2025-11-27: 4, missed, 5 carries
  2. vs CHI, 2025-12-07: -1, missed, 1 carries
  3. at DEN, 2025-12-14: 29, cleared, 3 carries
  4. at CHI, 2025-12-20: 7, cleared, 2 carries
  5. at CHI, 2026-01-10: 11, cleared, 1 carries
  6. at MIN, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 1 carries
  7. vs ATL, 2026-09-24: 0, missed, 1 carries
  8. at TB, 2026-10-04: -8, missed, 4 carries
  9. vs CHI, 2026-10-11: 6, cleared, 1 carries
  10. vs DAL, 2026-10-18: 12, cleared, 4 carries
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineCarries

Count only

Over 4.5 · L10

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
6
+1.5 vs line
Median
5
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
51%
at −106
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Carries
2.3
10 games · 3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1151 book6/10
−1064 books−1243 books5/10
+1904 books—3/10
+4101 book—1/10
+7501 book—1/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
FanDuel6 min ago+100Best−130
Bally Bet7 min ago−106—
betPARX7 min ago−106−122Best
BetRivers7 min ago−108−124

Prices as of 1:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over No move since first seen

Jordan Love's full game log and splits