Jordan Love
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 37.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 37.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 25.6–47.2 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Over 37.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
NE allow 32.1 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 21st most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 42.3 attempts · 2026: 39 (8 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game lines
GB +3 · total 47 (10 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 37.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 37.5
- Average
- 37.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 41
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −111
Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −111, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2783 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1254 books | −1053 books | 6/10 | |
| −1021 book | −1301 book | 6/10 | |
| +1323 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3903 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 37.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 37.5 | Under 37.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −124Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −124Best | −105 |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −125 | −106 |
| Bovada2 min ago | −130 | +100Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
37.5Over: −124 → −125 since first seen