Jordan Love
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Under 23.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 23.5 Completions hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 16.6–29.4 completions.
What's different on Sunday
Under 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
NE allow 21.3 completions a game to quarterbacks: 19th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 42.3 attempts · 2026: 39 (8 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game lines
GB +3 · total 46 (6 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 23.5
- Average
- 22.4
- −1.1 vs line
- Median
- 23.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 52%
- estimate · fair −108
Research, not a pick. At −129 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −108, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5003 books | — | 2/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| −1035 books | −1303 books | 5/10 | |
| +1383 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX14 min ago | −103 | −129Best |
| Bovada14 min ago | +100Best | −130 |
| Pinnacle14 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| Bally Bet14 min ago | −103 | — |
| BetRivers14 min ago | −103 | — |
Prices as of 10:27 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.522.5 → 23.5 since first seen