Jordan Love
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Under 23.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 23.5 Completions hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 16.6–29.4 completions.
What's different on Sunday
Under 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
NE allow 21.3 completions a game to quarterbacks: 19th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 42.3 attempts · 2026: 39 (8 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR
Game lines
GB +3 · total 45.5 (9 sportsbooks)
GB's games this season closed at 47.1 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 23.5
- Average
- 22.4
- −1.1 vs line
- Median
- 23.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 52%
- estimate · fair −107
Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −107, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5003 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2203 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 4/10 | |
| −1064 books | −1322 books | 5/10 | |
| +1853 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +3503 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX5 min ago | −106 | −124Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | +100Best | −132 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −106 | — |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −107 | — |
Prices as of 5:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.522.5 → 23.5 since first seen