Derrick Henry
JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PMGame log against Over 68.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 68.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).
What's different today
Over 68.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Injured Reserve (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Injured Reserve, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 68.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 26 of 36; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 8
TodayDefense vs running backs
JAX allow 57.7 rushing yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32
7 games
TodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Carries
Last 3: 15 carries · 2026: 19.8 (8 games)
Splits
Over 68.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against JAX in his last 10; Over 68.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs JAX
Rushing Yards: 153 in 19 carries, Jan 7, 2024 (home)
Over 68.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against JAX on record
L10 · Over 68.5
- Average
- 97.4
- +28.9 vs line
- Median
- 81
- +12.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 21.4
- 10 games · 18.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 68.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1904 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2001 book | +1501 book | 7/10 | |
| −1131 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1173 books | −1133 books | 6/10 | |
| −1104 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 6/10 | |
| −1131 book | −1131 book | 6/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 68.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 68.5 | Under 68.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX2 min ago | −115Best | −113 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −117 | −114 |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −125 | +103Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
68.572.5 → 68.5 since first seen


