Derrick Henry

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #22

JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PM

Over Under67.5

Over 67.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 67.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at GB, 2025-12-27: 216, cleared, 36 carries
at PIT, 2026-01-04: 126, cleared, 20 carries
at IND, 2026-09-13: 144, cleared, 24 carries
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 68, cleared, 16 carries
at DAL, 2026-09-27: 89, cleared, 26 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 73, cleared, 23 carries
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 102, cleared, 24 carries
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 58, missed, 17 carries
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 45, missed, 17 carries
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 53, missed, 11 carries

ClearedMissedThe 67.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 25.6–108.3 rushing yards.

What's different today

Over 67.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs running backs
JAX allow 57.7 rushing yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32
7 games
TodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Out, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 67.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 28 of 36; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 8
Carries
Last 3: 15 carries · 2026: 19.8 (8 games)

Splits

Over 67.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 67.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Rushing Yards: 153 in 19 carries, Jan 7, 2024 (home)

Over 67.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 67.5

Average: 97.4; +29.9 vs line
Median: 81; +13.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −105

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2001 book	+1501 book	8/10
−2001 book	+1501 book	7/10
−1804 books	—	7/10
−1154 books	−1153 books	7/10
−1133 books	−1133 books	6/10
−1044 books	—	6/10
+1401 book	−1851 book	5/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 67.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 67.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 67.5	Under 67.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−115	−115
Bovada9 min ago	−115	−115
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

67.5

72.5 → 67.5 since first seen