Courtland Sutton

Denver Broncos · WR · #14

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +1905 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 0.5 with Nix at quarterback: 15 of 43; with another DEN quarterback: 5 of 9
Carries + targets
Last 3: 4 carries + targets · 2026: 4.6 (8 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 15% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
vs NE, 2026-01-25: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
at KC, 2026-09-14: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 3 carries + targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 11 carries + targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 34%; at +190
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 5.1; 10 games · 7.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1905 books	pick'em only	2/10
+16005 books	—	0/10
+80004 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada9 min ago	+210Best	—
FanDuel9 min ago	+200	—
Bally Bet9 min ago	+190	—
betPARX9 min ago	+190	—
BetRivers9 min ago	+190	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen