Courtland Sutton

Denver Broncos · WR · #14

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under35.5

Over 35.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 35.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 35.5 with Nix at quarterback: 30 of 43; with another DEN quarterback: 6 of 9
Defense vs wide receivers
CAR allow 144.4 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 4.6 (8 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 15% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC

40%4 of 10L10

Over 35.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 53, cleared, 9 targets
vs NE, 2026-01-25: 17, missed, 5 targets
at KC, 2026-09-14: 11, missed, 5 targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 25, missed, 4 targets
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 46, cleared, 7 targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 4, missed, 6 targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 18, missed, 3 targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 19, missed, 3 targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 45, cleared, 5 targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 53, cleared, 4 targets

ClearedMissedThe 35.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 35.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 35.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Receiving Yards: 100 in 11 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 35.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 35.5

Average: 29.1; −6.4 vs line
Median: 22; −13.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 5.1; 10 games · 7.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 35.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3854 books	—	5/10
−2451 book	—	5/10
−1824 books	—	4/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	4/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
−1133 books	−1162 books	4/10
+1004 books	—	4/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 35.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 35.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 35.5	Under 35.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada6 min ago	−115	−115
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

35.5

No move since first seen