Courtland Sutton
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 3.5 with Nix at quarterback: 27 of 43; with another DEN quarterback: 3 of 9
Defense vs wide receivers
CAR allow 12.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 9th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 4.6 (8 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 15% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game log against Over 3.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 3.5 · L10Last vs CAR
Receptions: 8 in 11 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)
Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 2.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 5.1
- 10 games · 7.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11154 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2954 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1175 books | −1303 books | 2/10 | |
| +1854 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +3704 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +7504 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +12801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | +100Best | −130 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −102 | −130 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −117 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −117 | −112Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −118 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over −102 → −117 since first seen