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Carson Wentz

Minnesota Vikings · QB · #11

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder7.5
Over 7.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1174 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 7.5

50%4 of 8L8

Over 7.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 8 games (1 of 3 at home).

  1. at SF, 2024-01-07: 56, cleared, 17 carries
  2. at CLE, 2024-12-15: 0, missed, 3 carries
  3. vs CIN, 2025-09-21: 4, missed, 2 carries
  4. at PIT, 2025-09-28: 12, cleared, 2 carries
  5. at CLE, 2025-10-05: 13, cleared, 3 carries
  6. vs PHI, 2025-10-19: 28, cleared, 4 carries
  7. vs GB, 2026-09-13: -1, missed, 5 carries
  8. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 6, missed, 3 carries
ClearedMissedThe 7.5 lineCarries

What's different on Monday

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • MonCarries

    Last 3: 4 carries · 2025: 2.8 (4 games) · up 43%

  • New team

    6 games with MIN; before that, KC

    Over 7.5 with MIN: 3 of 6; his last 2 games before: 1 of 2

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    BUF allow 13.7 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 19th most of 32

    7 games

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 at DET

    Wentz has missed the last 5 games

Splits

Over 7.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L8 · Over 7.5

Average
14.8
+7.3 vs line
Median
9
+1.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
4 of 8
Price implies
54%
at −117
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
4.9
8 games · 3 in 2024

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL8
−1941 book—5/8
−1174 books−1133 books4/8
+1124 books—4/8
+2251 book—2/8
+2904 books—2/8
+6401 book—2/8
+9201 book—1/8
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 7.5Under 7.5
FanDuel2 min ago−114Best−114
Bally Bet2 min ago−117—
betPARX2 min ago−117−112Best
BetRivers2 min ago−118−113
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:01 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Over: −114 → −117 since first seen

Carson Wentz's full game log and splits