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Carson Wentz

Minnesota Vikings · QB · #11

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1124 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

  1. at SF, 2024-01-07: 2, cleared, 24 attempts
  2. at CLE, 2024-12-15: 0, missed, 2 attempts
  3. at DEN, 2025-01-05: 0, missed, 17 attempts
  4. vs CIN, 2025-09-21: 2, cleared, 20 attempts
  5. at PIT, 2025-09-28: 2, cleared, 46 attempts
  6. at CLE, 2025-10-05: 1, missed, 34 attempts
  7. vs PHI, 2025-10-19: 0, missed, 42 attempts
  8. at LAC, 2025-10-23: 1, missed, 27 attempts
  9. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 19 attempts
  10. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 20 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Monday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • MonBack from an absence

    Monday's game is his 1st back after missing 5 games in a row (Sep 27 – Nov 1)

  • MonPass attempts

    Last 3: 22 attempts · 2025: 33.8 (5 games) · down 35%

  • New team

    7 games with MIN; before that, KC

    Over 1.5 with MIN: 3 of 7; his last 3 games before: 1 of 3

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    BUF allow 2.14 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 5th most of 32

    7 games

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
47%
at +112
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Pass attempts
25.1
10 games · 9.5 in 2024

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−5904 books—6/10
+1124 books−1483 books4/10
+4504 books—1/10
+12001 book—0/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bally Bet16 min ago+112Best—
betPARX16 min ago+112Best−148
BetRivers16 min ago+112Best−148
FanDuel16 min ago+102−136Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +100 → +112 since first seen

Carson Wentz's full game log and splits