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Carson Wentz

Minnesota Vikings · QB · #11

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder199.5
Over 199.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1254 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 199.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 199.5 Passing Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

  1. at SF, 2024-01-07: 163, missed, 24 attempts
  2. at CLE, 2024-12-15: 20, missed, 2 attempts
  3. at DEN, 2025-01-05: 98, missed, 17 attempts
  4. vs CIN, 2025-09-21: 173, missed, 20 attempts
  5. at PIT, 2025-09-28: 350, cleared, 46 attempts
  6. at CLE, 2025-10-05: 236, cleared, 34 attempts
  7. vs PHI, 2025-10-19: 313, cleared, 42 attempts
  8. at LAC, 2025-10-23: 144, missed, 27 attempts
  9. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 133, missed, 19 attempts
  10. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 143, missed, 20 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 199.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Monday

Over 199.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • MonBack from an absence

    Monday's game is his 1st back after missing 5 games in a row (Sep 27 – Nov 1)

  • MonDefense vs quarterbacks

    BUF allow 269.0 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 3rd most of 32

    7 games

  • MonPass attempts

    Last 3: 22 attempts · 2025: 33.8 (5 games) · down 35%

  • New team

    7 games with MIN; before that, KC

    Over 199.5 with MIN: 3 of 7; his last 3 games before: 0 of 3

Splits

Over 199.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 199.5

Average
177.3
−22.2 vs line
Median
153.5
−46 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −125
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Pass attempts
25.1
10 games · 9.5 in 2024

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−7154 books—5/10
−2754 books—3/10
−2353 books—3/10
−1254 books—3/10
−1153 books−1142 books3/10
pick'em onlypick'em only3/10
−1141 book−1141 book3/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 199.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 199.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 199.5Under 199.5
Bally Bet5 min ago−125Best—
betPARX5 min ago−125Best—
BetRivers5 min ago−125Best—
FanDuel5 min ago−148—

Prices as of 2:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

199.5

204.5 → 199.5 since first seen

Carson Wentz's full game log and splits