Cam Ward
JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 11.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
JAX allow 12.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 22nd most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 4 carries · 2026: 3.3 (8 games)
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 at CIN
Game lines
TEN +10.5 · total 46.5 (8 sportsbooks)
TEN's games this season closed at 40.3 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs JAX
Rushing Yards: 11 in 2 carries, Jan 4 (away)
Over 11.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against JAX on record
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 13.3
- +1.8 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 3
- 10 games · 2.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1344 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1183 books | −1242 books | 4/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1143 books | 3/10 | |
| +1321 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +2251 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3701 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | −110Best | −120 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Pinnacle4 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5−110 → −114 since first seen