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Cam Ward

Tennessee Titans · QB · #1

JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Interceptions, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

—No games

Game logs for Interceptions aren't in our warehouse yet.

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 interceptions.

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Rest

    13 days off since Nov 1 at CIN

  • Game lines

    TEN +10.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    TEN's games this season closed at 40.3 on average (8 games)

  • JAX injuries

    Antonio Johnson (S, Questionable, 4.5 tackles); Travon Walker (DE, Questionable, 2.9 tackles); Branson Combs (LB, Questionable, 2.7 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Over 0.5

Average
—
no games
Median
—
no games
Hit rate
—
no games
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
53%
estimate · fair −113

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −113, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnder
−1144 books−1273 books
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Interceptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet12 min ago−114Best—
betPARX12 min ago−114Best−127
BetRivers12 min ago−114Best−127
Bovada12 min ago−120−110Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −125 → −114 since first seen

Cam Ward's full game log and splits