Cam Ward

Tennessee Titans · QB · #1

JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under33.5

Under 33.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1244 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 33.5 Passing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs NO, 2025-12-28: 40, missed, 40 attempts
at JAX, 2026-01-04: 3, hit, 3 attempts
vs NYJ, 2026-09-13: 32, hit, 32 attempts
vs PHI, 2026-09-20: 20, hit, 20 attempts
at NYG, 2026-09-27: 36, missed, 36 attempts
at BAL, 2026-10-04: 31, hit, 31 attempts
vs HOU, 2026-10-11: 36, missed, 36 attempts
at IND, 2026-10-18: 22, hit, 22 attempts
vs CLE, 2026-10-25: 31, hit, 31 attempts
at CIN, 2026-11-01: 40, missed, 40 attempts

Under hitMissedThe 33.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.3–41 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
JAX allow 32.4 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 19th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31 attempts · 2026: 31 (8 games)
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 at CIN
Game lines
TEN +10.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
TEN's games this season closed at 40.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Passing Attempts: 3 in 3 attempts, Jan 4 (away)

Under 33.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against JAX on record

L10 · Under 33.5

Average: 29.1; −4.4 vs line
Median: 31.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −124
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −124

Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −124, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5603 books	—	3/10
−3053 books	—	3/10
−1863 books	—	5/10
−1184 books	−1243 books	6/10
+1333 books	—	6/10
+2053 books	—	8/10
+3003 books	—	8/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 33.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 33.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 33.5	Under 33.5
betPARX15 min ago	−118	−124Best
BetRivers15 min ago	−118	−124Best
Bovada15 min ago	−105Best	−125
Bally Bet15 min ago	−118	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

33.5

−105 → −124 since first seen