C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under248.5

Over 248.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1215 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 248.5 Passing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 169, missed, 23 attempts
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 250, cleared, 32 attempts
at NE, 2026-01-18: 212, missed, 47 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 274, cleared, 38 attempts
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 353, cleared, 55 attempts
at IND, 2026-09-27: 167, missed, 27 attempts
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 347, cleared, 31 attempts
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 261, cleared, 34 attempts
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 312, cleared, 34 attempts
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 153, missed, 28 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 248.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 140.2–346.6 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 248.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
LAC allow 207.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 28th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 32 attempts · 2026: 35.3 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −4.5 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 248.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 248.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Passing Yards: 244 in 28 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 248.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 248.5

Average: 249.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 255.5; +7 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −114

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −114, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4201 book	—	7/10
−2254 books	—	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
−1215 books	−1204 books	6/10
−1184 books	—	6/10
+1504 books	—	3/10
+2901 book	—	3/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 248.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 248.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 248.5	Under 248.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet3 min ago	−121	—
betPARX3 min ago	−121	−120
BetRivers3 min ago	−121	−120
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

248.5

247.5 → 248.5 since first seen