C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1112 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
LAC allow 1.14 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 26th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 32 attempts · 2026: 35.3 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −4.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 1, missed, 23 attempts
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 1, missed, 32 attempts
at NE, 2026-01-18: 1, missed, 47 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 2, cleared, 38 attempts
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 55 attempts
at IND, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 27 attempts
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 31 attempts
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 34 attempts
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 3, cleared, 34 attempts
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 28 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Passing TDs: 2 in 28 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −111
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Pass attempts: 34.9; 10 games · 31.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6701 book	—	9/10
−1112 books	−1192 books	4/10
+3501 book	—	1/10
+11001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bovada5 min ago	−110Best	−120
FanDuel5 min ago	−112	−118Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −112 → −111 since first seen