C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +5572 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Carries + targets
Last 3: 3 carries + targets · 2026: 2.6 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −4.5 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)
LAC injuries
Derwin James Jr. (S, Injured Reserve, 5.9 tackles); Denzel Perryman (LB, Injured Reserve, 5.1 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 1, cleared, 2 carries + targets
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
at NE, 2026-01-18: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
at IND, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 6 carries + targets
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 4 carries + targets, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 15%; at +557
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 2.3; 10 games · 3.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+5572 books	pick'em only	2/10
	+65222 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada2 min ago	+625Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+500	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +500 → +557 since first seen