C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under248.5

Over 248.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 248.5 Passing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 169, missed, 23 attempts
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 250, cleared, 32 attempts
at NE, 2026-01-18: 212, missed, 47 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 274, cleared, 38 attempts
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 353, cleared, 55 attempts
at IND, 2026-09-27: 167, missed, 27 attempts
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 347, cleared, 31 attempts
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 261, cleared, 34 attempts
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 312, cleared, 34 attempts
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 153, missed, 28 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 248.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 140.2–346.6 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 248.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
LAC allow 207.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 28th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 32 attempts · 2026: 35.3 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −5.5 · total 40.5 (9 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 248.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 248.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Passing Yards: 244 in 28 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 248.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 248.5

Average: 249.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 255.5; +7 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −113

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −113, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2254 books	—	6/10
—	—	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
−1204 books	−1213 books	6/10
−1184 books	—	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	5/10
+1554 books	—	3/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 248.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 248.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 248.5	Under 248.5
Pinnacle5 min ago	−115Best	−115Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	−120	—
betPARX4 min ago	−120	−121
BetRivers4 min ago	−120	−121
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

248.5

247.5 → 248.5 since first seen