C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under33.5

Over 33.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1255 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 33.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 23, missed, 23 attempts
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 32, missed, 32 attempts
at NE, 2026-01-18: 47, cleared, 47 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 38, cleared, 38 attempts
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 55, cleared, 55 attempts
at IND, 2026-09-27: 27, missed, 27 attempts
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 31, missed, 31 attempts
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 34, cleared, 34 attempts
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 34, cleared, 34 attempts
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 28, missed, 28 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 33.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 21.2–45.5 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs quarterbacks
LAC allow 28.0 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 31st most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 32 attempts · 2026: 35.3 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −4.5 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 33.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Passing Attempts: 28 in 28 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 33.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 33.5

Average: 34.9; +1.4 vs line
Median: 33; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −104

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6703 books	—	8/10
−3453 books	—	7/10
−2003 books	—	6/10
−1255 books	−1174 books	5/10
+1233 books	—	3/10
+1803 books	—	3/10
+2653 books	—	2/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 33.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 33.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 33.5	Under 33.5
Bovada3 min ago	−110Best	−120
Pinnacle3 min ago	−116	−114Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−125	—
betPARX3 min ago	−125	−117
BetRivers3 min ago	−125	−117
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:01 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

33.5

−130 → −125 since first seen