C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM

Over Under260.5

Over 260.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1213 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 260.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs IND, 2026-01-04: 174, missed, 25 attempts + carries
at PIT, 2026-01-12: 250, missed, 33 attempts + carries
at NE, 2026-01-18: 223, missed, 49 attempts + carries
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 289, cleared, 40 attempts + carries
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 382, cleared, 58 attempts + carries
at IND, 2026-09-27: 177, missed, 29 attempts + carries
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 359, cleared, 33 attempts + carries
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 266, cleared, 40 attempts + carries
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 317, cleared, 35 attempts + carries
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 157, missed, 30 attempts + carries

ClearedMissedThe 260.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 147.6–367.1 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 260.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 35 attempts + carries · 2026: 37.9 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 vs NYG
Game lines
HOU −4.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (7 games)
LAC injuries
Derwin James Jr. (S, Injured Reserve, 5.9 tackles); Denzel Perryman (LB, Injured Reserve, 5.1 tackles); Daiyan Henley (LB, Questionable, 7 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Over 260.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 260.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Pass+Rush Yards: 244 in 32 attempts + carries, Dec 27, 2025 (away)

Over 260.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 260.5

Average: 259.4; −1.1 vs line
Median: 258; −2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −121
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −115

Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −115, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3153 books	—	6/10
−1573 books	—	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
−1213 books	−1202 books	5/10
+1153 books	—	4/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 260.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 260.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 260.5	Under 260.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	−121Best	—
betPARX7 min ago	−121Best	−120Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−121Best	−120Best

Prices as of 1:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

260.5

258.5 → 260.5 since first seen