Brock Purdy
LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 16.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
LV allow 13.0 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 21st most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 4 carries · 2026: 4.6 (7 games)
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at ATL
Game lines
SF −9.5 · total 52 (6 sportsbooks)
SF's games this season closed at 48.1 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 24.3
- +7.8 vs line
- Median
- 28.5
- +12 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 4.8
- 10 games · 4.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2654 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 8/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 8/10 | |
| −1174 books | −1133 books | 8/10 | |
| +1144 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +2301 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +2404 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada15 min ago | −110Best | −120 |
| Bally Bet15 min ago | −117 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −117 | −112Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −118 | −113 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.514.5 → 16.5 since first seen