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Brock Purdy

San Francisco 49ers · QB · #13

LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1336 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Passing TDs cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

  1. vs SEA, 2026-01-03: 0, missed, 27 attempts
  2. at PHI, 2026-01-11: 2, missed, 31 attempts
  3. at SEA, 2026-01-17: 0, missed, 27 attempts
  4. at LAR, 2026-09-10: 3, cleared, 34 attempts
  5. vs MIA, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 22 attempts
  6. vs ARI, 2026-09-27: 4, cleared, 27 attempts
  7. vs DEN, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 30 attempts
  8. at SEA, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 29 attempts
  9. vs WSH, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 29 attempts
  10. at ATL, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 40 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Sunday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunDefense vs quarterbacks

    LV allow 2.25 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 3rd most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 32.7 attempts · 2026: 30.1 (7 games)

  • Rest

    13 days off since Oct 25 at ATL

  • Game lines

    SF −10 · total 53 (5 sportsbooks)

    SF's games this season closed at 48.1 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LV on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
1.7
−0.8 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
43%
at +133
Books’ fair
40%
margin removed
Pass attempts
29.6
10 games · 31.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 40%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−50003 books—8/10
−3054 books—6/10
+1336 books−1805 books2/10
+4504 books—1/10
+12001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Bovada2 min ago+135Best−180
FanDuel2 min ago+134−180
Pinnacle2 min ago+134−180
Bally Bet2 min ago+133—
betPARX2 min ago+133−177Best
BetRivers2 min ago+133−177Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Brock Purdy's full game log and splits