Baker Mayfield
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
Game log against Over 16.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
CHI allow 14.5 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 17th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 2.3 carries · 2026: 3.2 (5 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL
Game lines
TB +6 · total 47.5 (8 sportsbooks)
TB's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 21.9
- +5.4 vs line
- Median
- 22.5
- +6 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 3.4
- 10 games · 3.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2404 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1661 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1183 books | −1122 books | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 5/10 | |
| +1234 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1821 book | — | 5/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −115Best | −115Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.517.5 → 16.5 since first seen