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Baker Mayfield

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB · #6

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +6242 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 2.3 carries + targets · 2026: 3.2 (5 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL

  • Game lines

    TB +6 · total 47.5 (5 sportsbooks)

    TB's games this season closed at 43.5 on average (8 games)

  • CHI injuries

    Coby Bryant (S, Injured Reserve, 3.7 tackles); Malik Muhammad II (CB, Questionable, 3 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Game log against Over 0.5

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

  1. vs NO, 2025-12-07: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
  2. vs ATL, 2025-12-11: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  3. at CAR, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  4. at MIA, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
  5. vs CAR, 2026-01-03: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  6. at CIN, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
  7. vs CLE, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  8. vs MIN, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
  9. at CAR, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  10. vs ATL, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
10%
1 of 10
Price implies
14%
at +624
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
3.4
10 games · 3.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+6242 bookspick'em only1/10
+88902 books—0/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel3 min ago+650Best—
Bovada3 min ago+600—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +700 → +624 since first seen

Baker Mayfield's full game log and splits