Baker Mayfield
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 3rd game back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 4 – Oct 18)
Over 1.5 since: 0 of 2
Defense vs quarterbacks
CHI allow 1.63 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 16 attempts · 2026: 22 (5 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL
Game log against Over 1.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 40%
- at +148
- Books’ fair
- 38%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 26.6
- 10 games · 31.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 38%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4004 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +1485 books | −1954 books | 2/10 | |
| +6004 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +15001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | +150Best | −200 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +148 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +148 | −195 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +145 | −195 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | +134 | −180Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over No move since first seen