Baker Mayfield
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different tonight
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 3rd game back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 4 – Oct 18)
Over 19.5 since: 0 of 2
TonightDefense vs quarterbacks
CHI allow 17.9 completions a game to quarterbacks: 30th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 16 attempts · 2026: 22 (5 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL
Game log against Over 19.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Completions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 16.8
- −2.7 vs line
- Median
- 17.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +106
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 26.6
- 10 games · 31.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 4/10 | |
| +1063 books | −1371 book | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +106Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +106Best | −137Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +105 | — |
Prices as of 11:43 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5−112 → +106 since first seen