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Trey Murphy III
NO @ MEMPelicans @ Grizzlies · Today 8:00 PM ET
The line
Under 0.5 Blocks
Typical price −1903 sportsbooksbest −181
Game log
Under 0.5Under 0.5 Blocks hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 blocks.
Home and away
L10 · Under 0.5Home
60%
3 of 5
Awaytonight
80%
4 of 5
L10 · Under 0.5 Blocks
- Average
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- −190, 3 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −175
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −181 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −175, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings2 hr ago | +136 | −181Best |
| betPARX2 hr ago | +145Best | −200 |
| Bally Bet2 hr ago | +145Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1453 books | −1902 books | 7/10 | |
| +7001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +22001 book | — | 10/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+4%