Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #00

POR @ PHX · Live

Over Under5.5

Under 5.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

77%10 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 5.5 Reb+Ast hit in 10 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs MIL, 2026-03-25: 7, missed, 24 min
vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 5, hit, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 10, missed, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 5, hit, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 4, hit, 20 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 6, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 5, hit, 38 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 4, hit, 31 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 6, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 6, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 1, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 3, hit, 36 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 2, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 2, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 19 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 3, hit, 21 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 5, hit, 17 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 4, hit, 19 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 4, hit, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 4, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0.4–7.9 reb+ast.

What's different yesterday

Under 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out yesterday. Without him: Under 5.5 in 20 of 33.

YesterdayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 5.5 without him: 20 of 33; with him: 5 of 8 (41 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 5.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 4 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at DEN
3rd straight road game

Splits

Under 5.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 5.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Reb+Ast: 3 in 19 min, Oct 21 (home)

Under 5.5 hit in 3 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 5.5

Average: 5; −0.5 vs line
Median: 5; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 77%; 10 of 13
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −144

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −144, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2402 books	+1751 book	6/13
−1253 books	−1102 books	10/13
+1401 book	−1851 book	11/13
+5502 books	—	12/13

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Bovada9 hr ago	−125	−105Best
DraftKings9 hr ago	−120Best	−110
Bally Bet9 hr ago	−130	—

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Under: +104 → −110 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Scoot Henderson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.