Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #00

POR @ PHX · Live

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Assists, typical price +1056 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

54%7 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 7 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs MIL, 2026-03-25: 4, missed, 24 min
vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 3, missed, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 7, missed, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 2, hit, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 3, missed, 20 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 3, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 2, hit, 38 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 3, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 4, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 3, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 0, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 1, hit, 36 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 2, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 0, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 19 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 2, hit, 21 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 17 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 2, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 13 of 33; with him: 4 of 8 (41 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 2 of 2; with him: 3 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs guards
PHX allow 14.6 assists a game to guards: 21st most of 30
5 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22.8 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Assists: 1 in 19 min, Oct 21 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 9 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 2.5

Average: 2.5; +0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 54%; 7 of 13
Price implies: 49%; at +105
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At +115 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−4351 book	—	3/13
−1486 books	+1052 books	7/13
+1635 books	−2151 book	11/13
+3304 books	—	12/13
+6502 books	—	12/13
+12002 books	—	12/13
+28001 book	—	13/13

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bovada5 hr ago	−150	+115Best
DraftKings5 hr ago	−138Best	+105
Bally Bet5 hr ago	−148	—
betPARX5 hr ago	−148	—
BetRivers5 hr ago	−148	—
FanDuel5 hr ago	−188	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+130 → +105 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Scoot Henderson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.